Publications

Weather forecast review project for operational open-water river forecasting

Description

The purpose of this project was to develop an understanding of the uncertainties in weather forecasting and propose a method of how the River Forecast Centre (RFC) can manage those uncertainties when modeling rainfall scenarios and issuing flood advisories. Accurate flood forecasting requires accurate forecasts of rainfall amount, location, timing, and intensity. This project was designed to assess how well these rainfall forecast requirements are currently being met by the current suite of popular numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, for the extreme events in Alberta, when they are needed the most. Specifically discussed is exactly how well the existing NWP models perform in these severe flood situations and what their variability is leading up to the event.

Updated

June 1, 2014

Tags
flood forecasting flood mitigation floods rainfall forecasting weather forecasting

Title and publication information

Type
Report
Extent

126 pages

Frequency

Once

Publisher / Creator Information

Publisher

Environment and Sustainable Resource Development

Subject Information

Topic
Environment

Resource Dates

Date Created

2014-06-01

Date Added

2018-09-10T16:04:00.710072

Date Modified

2014-06-01

Date Issued

2014-06-01

Audience information

Identifiers

Usage / Licence

Licence

No licence

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